AI Value Bot Results For Sunday 23rd October 2022
There are no value bets for today…
I did however place a couple of bets, however ended up doing early cash outs as I’m a little cautious at the moment after my big Liverpool v Forest loss!
ALL BETS
Wolves -v- Leicester 14:00
BACK Wolves | Predicted 2.62 Actual 2.40 | Edge -8% Probability 38%
LAY Wolves | Predicted 2.62 Actual 2.40 | Edge 6% Probability 62%
BACK The Draw | Predicted 3.33 Actual 3.40 | Edge 2% Probability 30%
LAY The Draw | Predicted 3.33 Actual 3.40 | Edge -1% Probability 70%
BACK Leicester | Predicted 3.14 Actual 3.40 | Edge 8% Probability 32%
LAY Leicester | Predicted 3.14 Actual 3.40 | Edge -3% Probability 68%
Might try and lay the draw at 3.0, see if it will get matched at some point
Southampton -v- Arsenal 14:00
BACK Southampton | Predicted 8.17 Actual 7.00 | Edge -14% Probability 12%
LAY Southampton | Predicted 8.17 Actual 7.00 | Edge 2% Probability 88%
BACK The Draw | Predicted 4.99 Actual 4.80 | Edge -4% Probability 20%
LAY The Draw | Predicted 4.99 Actual 4.80 | Edge 1% Probability 80%
BACK Arsenal | Predicted 1.48 Actual 1.53 | Edge 4% Probability 68%
LAY Arsenal | Predicted 1.48 Actual 1.53 | Edge -7% Probability 32%
Not risking the high probability, high risk Lay Southampton option and there’s not much edge in the rest of the options.
Leeds -v- Fulham 14:00
BACK Leeds | Predicted 2.23 Actual 2.12 | Edge -5% Probability 45%
LAY Leeds | Predicted 2.23 Actual 2.12 | Edge 5% Probability 55%
BACK The Draw | Predicted 3.82 Actual 3.90 | Edge 2% Probability 26%
LAY The Draw | Predicted 3.82 Actual 3.90 | Edge -1% Probability 74%
BACK Fulham | Predicted 3.44 Actual 3.60 | Edge 5% Probability 29%
LAY Fulham | Predicted 3.44 Actual 3.60 | Edge -2% Probability 71%
No edge in this match either and Leeds are my team so I can never bet against them!! They lost 3 – 2, so can’t see our manager Jesse Marsch lasting much longer, think that’s 7 or 8 games now without a win!
Tottenham -v- Newcastle 16:30
BACK Tottenham | Predicted 2.39 Actual 2.10 | Edge -12% Probability 42%
LAY Tottenham | Predicted 2.39 Actual 2.10 | Edge 11% Probability 58%
BACK The Draw | Predicted 3.61 Actual 3.65 | Edge 1% Probability 28%
LAY The Draw | Predicted 3.61 Actual 3.65 | Edge 0% Probability 72%
BACK Newcastle | Predicted 3.28 Actual 3.95 | Edge 20% Probability 30%
LAY Newcastle | Predicted 3.28 Actual 3.95 | Edge -7% Probability 70%
Laying Tottenham doesn’t look too bad above with an 11% edge and 58% probability, waiting for a match at 2.1 though by the time I put the bet on. I did get the match but stupidly cashed out way too early for a mere £0.08 profit, would have been a quid if I’d have only let it ride!
Watford -v- Luton 12:00
BACK Watford | Predicted 2.92 Actual 2.42 | Edge -17% Probability 34%
LAY Watford | Predicted 2.92 Actual 2.42 | Edge 12% Probability 66%
BACK The Draw | Predicted 3.46 Actual 3.30 | Edge -4% Probability 29%
LAY The Draw | Predicted 3.46 Actual 3.30 | Edge 2% Probability 71%
BACK Luton | Predicted 2.72 Actual 3.45 | Edge 27% Probability 37%
LAY Luton | Predicted 2.72 Actual 3.45 | Edge -11% Probability 63%
Might see if I can get a match on laying the draw at 3.0 for a bit of an edge
Aston Villa -v- Brentford 14:00
BACK Aston Villa | Predicted 2.60 Actual 2.08 | Edge -20% Probability 39%
LAY Aston Villa | Predicted 2.60 Actual 2.08 | Edge 18% Probability 61%
BACK The Draw | Predicted 3.11 Actual 3.50 | Edge 12% Probability 32%
LAY The Draw | Predicted 3.11 Actual 3.50 | Edge -5% Probability 68%
BACK Brentford | Predicted 3.40 Actual 4.10 | Edge 20% Probability 29%
LAY Brentford | Predicted 3.40 Actual 4.10 | Edge -7% Probability 71%
Not liking much from the above options
Swansea -v- Cardiff 12:00
BACK Swansea | Predicted 2.27 Actual 2.16 | Edge -5% Probability 44%
LAY Swansea | Predicted 2.27 Actual 2.16 | Edge 4% Probability 56%
BACK The Draw | Predicted 3.42 Actual 3.45 | Edge 1% Probability 29%
LAY The Draw | Predicted 3.42 Actual 3.45 | Edge 0% Probability 71%
BACK Cardiff | Predicted 3.73 Actual 3.95 | Edge 6% Probability 27%
LAY Cardiff | Predicted 3.73 Actual 3.95 | Edge -2% Probability 73%
Might see if I can lay the draw at 3.0. I did get a match, the game ended 2 – 0 to Swansea so this would have been another quid up, however once again I did a cautious cash out for a measly £0.11 profit
Profit for the day: £0.19
Total Profit: -£7.46
